Ontario iGaming
Monthly Performance
Ontario's regulated iGaming market handled $9.31B in cash wagers and generated $405M in NAGGR in April 2026, with 1,265K active player accounts.
In April 2026, Ontario operators handled $9.31B in cash wagers (-3.0% MoM, +19.5% YoY) and produced $405M in NAGGR (+5.0% MoM, +29.4% YoY). Active player accounts reached 1,265K (+16.0% YoY) at an average revenue per active account of $321. Trailing-12-month wagers run-rate sits at $104.85B, with NAGGR at $4.36B. That equates to roughly 9.9% of Ontario's adult (15+) population holding an active account that month — an upper-bound estimate, since one person can hold accounts with multiple operators.
APRIL 2026 EDITION · Magazine-grade report Download the Ontario iGaming Monthly ReportThe shape of Ontario’s regulated iGaming market
Trailing-12-month numbers smooth out monthly seasonality. Window: 2025-05 → 2026-04.
Penetration uses Statistics Canada Table 17-10-0005-01 (Ontario, age 15+, Q3 2024) as denominator (source, as of 2024-07-01). Active player ACCOUNTS, not unique persons — one player may hold accounts with multiple operators. AGCO/iGO does not publish unique-individuals data, so this penetration figure is an upper bound.
What changed this month
49 months of Ontario iGaming, charted
Every monthly KPI since regulated launch on 4 April 2022. Hover any chart for the exact value.
Cash Wagers
$M / monthContinuing expansion through the most recent six months
NAGGR (Net Revenue)
$M / monthContinuing expansion through the most recent six months
Active Player Accounts
thousands / monthContinuing expansion through the most recent six months
ARPPA (per account)
$ / monthContinuing expansion through the most recent six months
Casino, Betting, Poker — who’s winning?
Wagers — latest month share
April 2026NAGGR — latest month share
April 2026NAGGR share over time
stacked, by product| Product | Wagers | Wagers share | NAGGR | NAGGR share | Implied hold | YoY growth | Share trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎰 Casino | $8.14B | 87.0% | $314M | 77.0% | 3.9% | +23.7% | Rising |
| ⚽ Betting | $1.05B | 11.0% | $86M | 21.0% | 8.2% | -2.1% | Falling |
| 🃏 P2P Poker | $128M | 1.0% | $5M | 1.0% | 4.1% | -11.1% | Stable |
How much of every dollar wagered operators keep
Hold rate = NAGGR ÷ cash wagers, computed monthly. Trailing-12mo (TTM) average smooths month-end timing noise. YoY change reported in percentage points (pp), not relative %.
Hold rate over time
market + per product| Product | Latest | TTM avg | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎰 Casino | 3.86% | 3.78% | +0.28 pp |
| ⚽ Betting | 8.23% | 7.06% | +0.60 pp |
| 🃏 P2P Poker | 4.14% | 4.15% | +0.16 pp |
The regulator’s framing — Ontario’s FY runs April → March
AGCO and Ontario Finance both report against fiscal years. In-progress FYs compare like-for-like to the same opening months of the prior FY.
Annual totals
| FY | Wagers | YoY | NAGGR | YoY | Hold | Peak players | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY23 | $35.54B | — | $1.41B | — | 3.98% | 677K | complete |
| FY24 | $63.28B | +78.0% | $2.44B | +72.5% | 3.85% | 912K | complete |
| FY25 | $82.74B | +30.8% | $3.22B | +32.0% | 3.89% | 1,129K | complete |
| FY26 | $103.33B | +24.9% | $4.27B | +32.6% | 4.13% | 1,327K | complete |
| FY27 | $9.32B | +19.5% | $0.41B | +29.4% | 4.35% | 1,265K | 1/12 months |
Show 17 quarterly rollups
| FY-Q | Wagers | QoQ | YoY | NAGGR | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY27Q1 | $9.32B | -66.6% | -59.7% | $0.41B | 4.35% |
| FY26Q4 | $27.87B | -0.7% | +21.6% | $1.13B | 4.06% |
| FY26Q3 | $28.08B | +15.8% | +23.5% | $1.20B | 4.27% |
| FY26Q2 | $24.25B | +4.9% | +29.8% | $0.98B | 4.02% |
| FY26Q1 | $23.12B | +0.8% | +25.6% | $0.96B | 4.14% |
| FY25Q4 | $22.93B | +0.9% | +28.6% | $0.91B | 3.95% |
| FY25Q3 | $22.73B | +21.7% | +32.0% | $0.83B | 3.64% |
| FY25Q2 | $18.68B | +1.5% | +31.2% | $0.76B | 4.04% |
| FY25Q1 | $18.40B | +3.2% | +31.6% | $0.73B | 3.97% |
| FY24Q4 | $17.83B | +3.5% | +28.7% | $0.69B | 3.89% |
| FY24Q3 | $17.22B | +21.0% | +49.3% | $0.66B | 3.82% |
| FY24Q2 | $14.24B | +1.9% | +134.1% | $0.54B | 3.80% |
| FY24Q1 | $13.98B | +0.9% | +243.1% | $0.55B | 3.90% |
| FY23Q4 | $13.85B | +20.1% | — | $0.52B | 3.79% |
| FY23Q3 | $11.54B | +89.7% | — | $0.46B | 4.01% |
| FY23Q2 | $6.08B | +49.3% | — | $0.26B | 4.34% |
| FY23Q1 | $4.08B | — | — | $0.16B | 3.98% |
Month-of-year indices — when the market actually peaks
Each cell shows the month’s average value as a percentage of the full-history average for that metric. 1.00 = average; 1.10 = 10% above average; 0.90 = 10% below.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Peak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Wagers | 1.17 | 1.07 | 1.19 | 0.97 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.16 | Mar |
| NAGGR | 1.20 | 1.03 | 1.16 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.87 | 0.95 | 1.03 | 1.13 | 1.13 | Jan |
| Players | 1.19 | 1.20 | 1.14 | 1.01 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.96 | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.12 | Feb |
| ARPPA | 1.03 | 0.86 | 1.04 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 1.06 | 1.10 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 1.04 | 1.02 | Aug |
What the market has done — and how stable it now is
📌 All-time records
- Wagers $9.59B 2026-03 · 1 mo. ago
- NAGGR $426M 2025-12 · 4 mo. ago
- Players 1,327K 2026-01 · 3 mo. ago
- ARPPA $333 2025-12 · 4 mo. ago
🔥 Current streaks
- Wagers ↓ 1 mo down latest MoM -3.0%
- NAGGR ↑ 2 mo up latest MoM +5.0%
- Players ↑ 1 mo up latest MoM +2.0%
- ARPPA ↑ 2 mo up latest MoM +3.0%
📉 Worst drawdowns
- Wagers -10.0% 2025-05 → 2025-06 · recovered 2mo later
- NAGGR -19.6% 2025-12 → 2026-02 · not yet recovered
- Players -21.4% 2023-02 → 2023-07 · recovered 2mo later
- ARPPA -27.5% 2023-07 → 2024-02 · recovered 6mo later
📊 Market stability (CV)
Coefficient of variation, last 12 months vs prior 12. Lower = more stable.
- Wagers CV 0.093 from 0.113 · stabilising
- NAGGR CV 0.113 from 0.110 · unchanged
- Players CV 0.115 from 0.144 · stabilising
- ARPPA CV 0.071 from 0.077 · stabilising
Market maturation
Ontario's iGaming market has graduated from launch ramp to mature plateau.
- 8.6× growth in cash wagers since launch — $1.08B (Apr 2022) → $9.31B (April 2026)
- 71.4% CAGR in handle since launch, 74.3% in NAGGR
- Steep launch ramp through Oct 2023, then settled into a mature plateau
- Trailing-12-mo avg $8.74B — winter highs alternate with summer softness
- YoY decelerated to +19.5% on wagers — past the land-grab phase
Product mix shift
Casino dominates handle; Betting punches above its weight on revenue.
- Casino 87% of wagers + 77% of NAGGR in April 2026
- Casino wagers-share rising vs 2 years ago (was 83%) — live-dealer + slot growth
- Betting 11% of wagers but 21% of NAGGR — structurally higher hold
- Hold rates: Casino 3.9% vs Betting 8.2% vs Poker 4.1%
- P2P Poker steady at 1% / 1% — small but loyal niche
Structural lesson for other Canadian provinces: a regulated, competitive casino vertical will dominate headline handle but yield a smaller share of taxable revenue than sports.
Player engagement
Market has shifted from player acquisition to yield-optimisation.
- Accounts 277K → 1,265K (4.6× since launch)
- ARPPA $158 → $321 at 19.4% CAGR
- Account growth dominated through FY24 — operators acquiring
- FY25 onward: flat ARPPA on marginal accounts — yield phase, not acquisition
- Winter > summer account counts — mirrors North American sports calendars
Next 3 months — 3-method ensemble forecast
Forecasts are the median of three independently-computed methods: (1) linear-trend OLS on the last 12 months, (2) manual exponential smoothing with damped trend (α=0.3, β=0.1), and (3) seasonal-naive (y[t-12] × trailing-12-month growth). The low/high band is the min/max across the three methods — an honest uncertainty envelope, not a statistical confidence interval.
Cash Wagers ($M)
| Month | Low | Point | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 9,719 | 9,940 | 10,023 |
| 2026-06 | 9,020 | 9,861 | 10,125 |
| 2026-07 | 9,400 | 10,004 | 10,310 |
NAGGR ($M)
| Month | Low | Point | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 410 | 416 | 449 |
| 2026-06 | 407 | 417 | 425 |
| 2026-07 | 413 | 424 | 433 |
Active Players (K)
| Month | Low | Point | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1,330 | 1,330 | 1,380 |
| 2026-06 | 1,261 | 1,350 | 1,410 |
| 2026-07 | 1,181 | 1,370 | 1,440 |
ARPPA ($)
| Month | Low | Point | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 301 | 309 | 336 |
| 2026-06 | 300 | 310 | 322 |
| 2026-07 | 299 | 311 | 349 |
Forecast accuracy — how we did last month
First run — no prior forecasts on record to backtest. From the next monthly ingest onward, this section will score the current forecast against last month's prediction.
What I’d watch next quarter
Three forecast methods broadly agree; summer prints structurally below trend.
- Wagers next 3 months: $9.94B → $9.86B → $10.00B
- NAGGR next 3 months: $416M → $417M → $424M
- Wider low/high band in May–July = seasonal-naive pulling down, not new instability
- Watch: does casino wagers-share hold above 85% as betting pushes for re-engagement?
- Watch: does ARPPA keep climbing against a still-expanding account base?
- Watch: any operator entry/exit that changes competitive structure
Months that didn’t fit the trend
Active players k jumped 44% MoM
Cash wagers jumped 36% MoM
| Month | FY-Q | Wagers ($M) | MoM | NAGGR ($M) | MoM | Players (K) | MoM | ARPPA ($) | MoM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | FY27Q1 | 9,315 | -3.0% | 405.4 | +5.0% | 1,265 | +2.0% | 321 | +3.0% |
| 2026-03 | FY26Q4 | 9,591 | +10.0% | 386.9 | +13.0% | 1,240 | -5.0% | 312 | +19.0% |
| 2026-02 | FY26Q4 | 8,735 | -9.0% | 342.4 | -15.0% | 1,305 | -2.0% | 262 | -14.0% |
| 2026-01 | FY26Q4 | 9,547 | 0.0% | 402.6 | -5.0% | 1,327 | +4.0% | 303 | -9.0% |
| 2025-12 | FY26Q3 | 9,501 | +2.0% | 425.6 | +5.0% | 1,277 | -2.0% | 333 | +7.0% |
| 2025-11 | FY26Q3 | 9,332 | +1.0% | 406.2 | +10.0% | 1,299 | +1.0% | 313 | +9.0% |
| 2025-10 | FY26Q3 | 9,249 | +8.0% | 368.2 | +12.0% | 1,287 | +9.0% | 286 | +2.0% |
| 2025-09 | FY26Q2 | 8,548 | +5.0% | 329.8 | -1.0% | 1,177 | +16.0% | 280 | -15.0% |
| 2025-08 | FY26Q2 | 8,139 | +8.0% | 334.8 | +8.0% | 1,016 | +7.0% | 330 | +1.0% |
| 2025-07 | FY26Q2 | 7,564 | +4.0% | 311.1 | +1.0% | 948 | -6.0% | 328 | +8.0% |
| 2025-06 | FY26Q1 | 7,259 | -10.0% | 306.8 | -9.0% | 1,013 | -5.0% | 303 | -4.0% |
| 2025-05 | FY26Q1 | 8,066 | +3.0% | 338.0 | +8.0% | 1,068 | -2.0% | 316 | +10.0% |
| 2025-04 | FY26Q1 | 7,796 | -2.0% | 313.3 | +6.0% | 1,091 | +3.0% | 287 | +3.0% |
| 2025-03 | FY25Q4 | 7,955 | +12.0% | 296.1 | +6.0% | 1,060 | -6.0% | 279 | +12.0% |
| 2025-02 | FY25Q4 | 7,128 | -9.0% | 280.3 | -15.0% | 1,129 | +2.0% | 248 | -16.0% |
| 2025-01 | FY25Q4 | 7,845 | 0.0% | 328.6 | +22.0% | 1,106 | +8.0% | 297 | +13.0% |
| 2024-12 | FY25Q3 | 7,818 | +5.0% | 269.8 | -7.0% | 1,025 | +1.0% | 263 | -9.0% |
| 2024-11 | FY25Q3 | 7,463 | 0.0% | 291.6 | +10.0% | 1,011 | +7.0% | 288 | +2.0% |
| 2024-10 | FY25Q3 | 7,453 | +14.0% | 266.0 | -3.0% | 945 | +10.0% | 281 | -12.0% |
| 2024-09 | FY25Q2 | 6,535 | +8.0% | 274.4 | +15.0% | 859 | +20.0% | 320 | -4.0% |
| 2024-08 | FY25Q2 | 6,045 | -1.0% | 238.3 | -2.0% | 718 | -13.0% | 332 | +13.0% |
| 2024-07 | FY25Q2 | 6,098 | +2.0% | 242.4 | +1.0% | 823 | -2.0% | 294 | +3.0% |
| 2024-06 | FY25Q1 | 5,978 | -4.0% | 239.6 | 0.0% | 838 | +3.0% | 286 | -3.0% |
| 2024-05 | FY25Q1 | 6,258 | +1.0% | 240.6 | -4.0% | 816 | -10.0% | 295 | +7.0% |
| 2024-04 | FY25Q1 | 6,166 | -1.0% | 250.1 | +4.0% | 910 | +6.0% | 275 | -2.0% |
| 2024-03 | FY24Q4 | 6,235 | +11.0% | 240.8 | +14.0% | 857 | -6.0% | 281 | +21.0% |
| 2024-02 | FY24Q4 | 5,614 | -6.0% | 211.4 | -12.0% | 912 | +4.0% | 232 | -16.0% |
| 2024-01 | FY24Q4 | 5,982 | -1.0% | 241.3 | +7.0% | 877 | +8.0% | 275 | -2.0% |
| 2023-12 | FY24Q3 | 6,065 | +8.0% | 226.2 | +7.0% | 809 | +4.0% | 280 | +3.0% |
| 2023-11 | FY24Q3 | 5,609 | +1.0% | 211.9 | -4.0% | 779 | 0.0% | 272 | -4.0% |
| 2023-10 | FY24Q3 | 5,549 | +10.0% | 220.2 | +11.0% | 778 | +11.0% | 283 | 0.0% |
| 2023-09 | FY24Q2 | 5,067 | +9.0% | 197.8 | +15.0% | 700 | +23.0% | 282 | -7.0% |
| 2023-08 | FY24Q2 | 4,632 | +2.0% | 172.6 | +1.0% | 568 | +7.0% | 304 | -5.0% |
| 2023-07 | FY24Q2 | 4,541 | +2.0% | 170.3 | +6.0% | 532 | -5.0% | 320 | +11.0% |
| 2023-06 | FY24Q1 | 4,466 | -4.0% | 161.4 | -17.0% | 557 | -11.0% | 289 | -7.0% |
| 2023-05 | FY24Q1 | 4,675 | -3.0% | 195.0 | +3.0% | 628 | -7.0% | 311 | +11.0% |
| 2023-04 | FY24Q1 | 4,840 | -1.0% | 189.4 | -1.0% | 677 | +5.0% | 280 | -6.0% |
| 2023-03 | FY23Q4 | 4,900 | +13.0% | 191.8 | +26.0% | 647 | -4.0% | 297 | +32.0% |
| 2023-02 | FY23Q4 | 4,336 | -6.0% | 152.7 | -15.0% | 677 | +3.0% | 225 | -18.0% |
| 2023-01 | FY23Q4 | 4,616 | +4.0% | 179.8 | +10.0% | 655 | +5.0% | 274 | +5.0% |
| 2022-12 | FY23Q3 | 4,456 | +13.0% | 163.5 | -4.0% | 624 | +5.0% | 262 | -9.0% |
| 2022-11 | FY23Q3 | 3,948 | +26.0% | 171.0 | +33.0% | 594 | +13.0% | 288 | +18.0% |
| 2022-10 | FY23Q3 | 3,131 | +30.0% | 128.3 | +19.0% | 525 | +11.0% | 244 | +7.0% |
| 2022-09 | FY23Q2 | 2,413 | +22.0% | 108.2 | +23.0% | 475 | +44.0% | 228 | -15.0% |
| 2022-08 | FY23Q2 | 1,984 | +18.0% | 88.1 | +31.0% | 331 | +21.0% | 266 | +8.0% |
| 2022-07 | FY23Q2 | 1,685 | +11.0% | 67.5 | +11.0% | 274 | -9.0% | 247 | +21.0% |
| 2022-06 | FY23Q1 | 1,525 | +4.0% | 60.9 | +6.0% | 299 | -4.0% | 203 | +10.0% |
| 2022-05 | FY23Q1 | 1,471 | +36.0% | 57.5 | +31.0% | 310 | +12.0% | 185 | +17.0% |
| 2022-04 | FY23Q1 | 1,079 | — | 43.9 | — | 277 | — | 158 | — |
Methodology
- Source: iGaming Ontario Monthly Market Performance Data Tables — the official quarterly/monthly release.
- Coverage: all AGCO-registered operators and the iGO-operated channel since the regulated market launched on 4 April 2022.
- Data extraction: 2026-05-21 · Published: 2026-05-27.
- Definitions: Cash Wagers = total stakes (non-bonus). NAGGR = wagers minus winnings (before promotional adjustments). Active Player Account = a real-money account with ≥1 transaction in the month. ARPPA = NAGGR ÷ Active Players.
- Forecasts: 3-method ensemble (linear trend on last 12 months, exponential smoothing, seasonal-naive). The reported band is the spread across methods, not a statistical confidence interval.
- Updates: page refreshes automatically when a new XLSX is parsed (typically the third week of each month).
Related
- AGCO Registration Requirements — the regulator behind this data
- AGCO Standards Explorer — every Registrar's Standard
- AGCO vs AGLC — Ontario vs Alberta head-to-head
- UKGC vs AGCO — Britain vs Ontario operator playbook
- iGaming Tax Calculator — Ontario's ~20% revenue share and beyond